What the June BTO results reveal about how Singaporeans really choose their homes

I know someone who will walk two extra blocks for noodles that are 50 cents cheaper, and who only goes to town when a buddy can give him a ride. 

Yet a few years back, this same person paid the highest price for their four-room flat in the area they live in. 

Next year, this individual plans to upgrade to a five-room flat that is closer to their office. 

It’s not a huge difference in travel time — perhaps just around three stops closer by train.

So what does this have to do with the recently concluded June 2026 BTO flat applications and HDB resale prices?

I think there’s a fair bit to take away from my acquaintance’s mindset and the demand for new BTO flats in the latest sales exercise. 

We reported that the sales exercise drew over 22,3 applications for 6,952 flats, which we covered in this article here. 

We saw that two Prime projects — Berlayar Rise and Lakeview Cascadia — accounted for around 65per cent of all applications. Meanwhile, the two Standard projects in Sembawang were undersubscribed among first-timer families.

These weren’t typical Standard BTO projects — they came with a shorter build time of under three-years. However, application rates were just 0.7 for three-room flats, 0.6 for four-room flats and 0.4 for five-room flats.

Regardless, most of the interest among BTO applicants went toward the Plus and Prime flats. 

These are pricier, will take longer to build, and come with restrictions that go way beyond a 10-year MOP. 

But the high application rates indicate that most BTO owners are willing to accept that, along with the heftier price tag.

Let’s consider the new four-room BTO flats. Buyers could have applied for a four-room flat at Sembawang Brook that would be priced from $302,000, or at Woodgrove Acres that starts from $353,000.

Instead, we saw that a relatively large proportion of the demand flowed toward Lakeview Cascadia, where four-room flats start from $534,000, and Kebun Baru Ridge where these units are priced from $543,000, as well as Berlayar Rise which sees prices from $592,000.

(For a thorough review of all the projects in this sales exercise, see our June BTO launch guide).

That’s a premium of roughly $180,000 to almost $300,000 before grants. 

Yet these projects still attracted the lion’s share of applications, despite longer waiting times and significantly tighter resale restrictions.

This is in stark contrast with some Singaporeans who I have met over the years. 

Most are eminently practical and willing to go far to preserve their savings, but when it comes to housing — just as with their children’s education apparently — the restraints loosen.

It appears that these same reasons drive the behaviour of my acquaintance. 

When it comes to housing, affordability matters. But that’s not the same as simply going for the cheapest option; it’s about looking for the biggest improvement that they can realistically afford.

But is this just about resale value and upgrading to a condo? 

I’m not entirely sure. I acknowledge the possibility that some Singaporeans have underestimated the impact of Prime and Plus restrictions.

As I pointed out previously, many buyers seem to focus on just the 10-year MOP and Subsidy Recovery. 

I notice fewer buyers focus on the resale income ceiling and Mortgage Servicing Ratio (MSR), which will also apply to future buyers. 

Along with the Subsidy Recovery and almost 13-year total wait time, Plus and Prime projects have built-in mechanisms that dissuade windfall seeking owners.

That said, I think it’s more likely that most buyers at least understand the broad trade-offs. 

Some may be underestimating the degree of the effect, but in general they know they’re accepting significant drawbacks. 

And yet, many have consciously decided the trade-offs are worth the while.

Their day-to-day quality of life, from being in a more convenient location, may come ahead of resale gain or property progression. 

If so, this may also explain the stubborn refusal of resale flat prices to fall 

If Singaporeans value location, convenience, and quality of life above room for price growth, upgrading, etc., then it also explains why it’s so hard for resale flat prices to dip — even if there’s higher supply in the market. 

Over the past year, the HDB resale market has seen much more supply. Around 13,480 flats are expected to reach their MOP this year, almost double last year’s 6,973 units.

The public housing market has also improved since the end of the Covid-19 pandemic. 

We went from a scene where new housing supply couldn’t keep up with demand, to a situation where the overall supply has matched long-term demand trends.

And yet in the first three months of this year, about a third of resale buyers still paid at least $800,000 for their flats, and million-dollar transactions continue to climb. 

The broader resale market may be cooling, but demand for the most desirable locations remains unshakeable. 

The overwhelming demand for Plus and Prime flats may simply be another expression of the same mindset we already see in the resale market. 

When given a choice, many Singaporeans will pay a substantial premium for a home that better suits them. 

If a million-dollar resale price ever follows, that’s welcome. But perhaps for an increasing number of buyers, that’s a secondary benefit.

It would also explain why the negative impact of lease decay keeps getting shrugged off.

In our analysis last year, we found that many 50-year-old flats in mature estates continued to sustain high prices. 

Older five-room flats in Toa Payoh still saw average prices of above $1 million in 2025, while similarly aged units in Marine Parade recorded average prices of around $938,000, and Kallang/Whampoa around $765,000. 

Even four-room flats in Queenstown, Marine Parade and Bukit Timah continued to transact comfortably above the $600,000 mark.

If a substantial number of Singaporeans aren’t even afraid of lease decay, despite the end of Sers, then a 10-year MOP, Subsidy Recovery, and income ceiling scare them even less.

Whether this was the government’s intention or not, it seems to me that the introduction of Plus and Prime flats may have ended up doing more than just preventing unfair windfalls. 

It created a system that reveals a big part of the Singaporean homeowner’s psyche towards home ownership.

These rules deliberately make these flats less attractive to buyers chasing gains, yet we find many Singaporeans still rushing for them. 

At the same time, we can see on the tail-end that prices of central area flats — in their last 50 years of existence — defy gravity and continue to draw interested buyers.

Put the two together, and it contours a very common online complaint: that Singaporeans keep using HDB flats as investment assets. In reality, all the behaviour so far points in the opposite direction. 

Resale flat prices are expensive precisely because most Singaporeans prize home ownership over yield, capital gain, or other spreadsheet calculations. 

Persistently high resale prices may not simply suggest that Singaporeans treat public housing as investment assets. 

It may reflect something much more mundane: We’re willing to pay a premium to live where we genuinely want to live. 

And we’re willing to do so regardless of Plus and Prime restrictions, or lease decay.

Weekly sales roundup (June 15 – 21)

Top 5 most expensive new sales (by project)

Project name

Price S$

Area (sqft)

$PSF

Tenure

River Modern

$6,180,000

1830

$3,377

99 years (2025)

One Marina Gardens

$5,418,000

1647

$3,290

99 years (2023)

The Continuum

$5,330,000

1905

$2,798

FH

J’den

$3,751,000

1485

$2,525

99 yrs

Canninghill Piers

$3,613,000

1130

$3,197

99 yrs (2021)

Top 5 cheapest new sales (by project)

Project name

Price S$

Area (sqft)

$PSF

Tenure

Narra Residence

$1,542,000

700

$2,204

99 years (2025)

Coastal Cabana

$1,670,000

915

$1,825

99 years (2024)

Bloomsbury Residences

$1,720,000

678

$2,536

99 years (2024)

Hudson Place Residences

$1,765,000

689

$2,562

99 years (2025)

Canberra Crescent Residences

$1,995,861

990

$2,015

99 years (2024)

Top 5 most expensive resale

Project name

Price S$

Area (sqft)

$PSF

Tenure

Hilltops

$8,088,600

2379

$3,400

FH

Draycott Eight

$7,500,000

2906

$2,581

99 years (1997)

The Draycott

$5,650,000

2637

$2,142

FH

Palm Spring

$4,360,000

1862

$2,341

FH

Leonie Gardens

$4,200,000

2540

$1,653

99 years (1990)

Top 5 cheapest resale

Project name

Price S$

Area (sqft)

$PSF

Tenure

River Isles

$720,000

441

$1,631

99 years (2012)

Skysuites17

$735,000

377

$1,951

FH

EuHabitat

$755,000

538

$1,403

99 years (2010)

Space @ Kovan

$783,666

549

$1,428

FH

Treescape

$793,000

431

$1,842

FH

Top 5 biggest winners

Project name

Price S$

Area (sqft)

$PSF

Returns

Holding period

Leonie Gardens

$4,200,000

2540

$1,653

$2,930,000

28 Years

The Esta

$3,388,888

1346

$2,519

$2,464,278

20 Years

Mirage Tower

$3,700,188

1496

$2,473

$2,370,188

20 Years

Blossoms @ Woodleigh

$2,768,000

1206

$2,296

$1,993,000

19 Years

Gold Coast Condominium

$3,200,000

1894

$1,689

$1,800,000

17 Years

Top 5 biggest losers

Project name

Price S$

Area (sqft)

$PSF

Returns

Holding period

Marina Collection

$2,780,000

1873

$1,484

-$2,167,760

18 Years

Reflections at Keppel Bay

$4,050,000

2336

$1,734

-$782,100

19 Years

Robinson Suites

$1,155,000

506

$2,283

-$565,000

16 Years

OUE Twin Peaks

$1,175,000

570

$2,060

-$394,100

10 Years

Marine One Residences

$1,270,000

753

$1,686

-$347,145

Six Years

Top 5 biggest winners (ROI per cent)

Project name

Price S$

Area (sqft)

$PSF

ROI (per cent)

Holding period

Braddell View

$1,541,688

1453

$1,061

267per cent

20 Years

The Esta

$3,388,888

1346

$2,519

267per cent

20 Years

Blossoms @ Woodleigh

$2,768,000

1206

$2,296

257per cent

19 Years

Leonie Gardens

$4,200,000

2540

$1,653

231per cent

28 Years

The Tessarina

$2,400,000

1033

$2,323

216per cent

22 Years

Top 5 biggest losers (ROI per cent)

Project name

Price S$

Area (sqft)

$PSF

ROI (per cent)

Holding period

Marina Collection

$2,780,000

1873

$1,484

-44per cent

18 Years

Robinson Suites

$1,155,000

506

$2,283

-33per cent

16 Years

OUE Twin Peaks

$1,175,000

570

$2,060

-25per cent

10 Years

Marina One Residences

$1,270,000

753

$1,686

-22per cent

Six Years

Reflections at Keppel Bay

$4,050,000

2336

$1,734

-16per cent

19 Years

Transaction breakdown

PHOTO: Stackedhomes

This article was first published in Stackedhomes.

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